"The end of Israel": ideas that have witnessed profound significance because they are inter facts brought about radical changes in the Arab mind. So you might say that this idea has become a part of the many Arabic Alhoamat. And vermin is the desire of pre-conscious come into awareness and then disappear for a lie in before a new consciousness. Which makes pesticides subject to the principles of the dream. Most of those they see as a dream is not achievable. These considerations are valid reasons and realism that sets this idea in the class aspirations of non-investigation. It is for these reasons we offer the following others:
1 - perverse consequences of the shock of 1967.
2 - Egypt dramatic exit from the scene of the confrontation.
3 - America's containment of the Bay and Hrbah the first and second part of this containment, which reached its peak through its current form.
4 - Israel's military superiority coupled with their need to prove their ability to aggression Review as a means to bring confidence to the Israelis.
5 - Israel's strategic alliance with unipolar and full bias to their advantage.
These reasons is sufficient to impede the rationalization vermin and thinking of being capable of implementation and certification. The degree of realism has become her means of delivery by the end of Arab nationalism, and in time became the so-called beautiful. The charges are irrational and romantic ready to throw any advocacy of the League of Arab no matter how modest ambition. Thus, absent from the consciousness that the idea of the end is the idea of Israel in a very logical and has isnaads Brahinha and empirically different from the scenario that we envisaged these days to the end. Bringing the imbalance is not limited to the scenario and the idea itself. Consider the rationale supporting the idea of the end of Israel.
1 - Entity grown
Israel is an exotic entity and implanted in the Arab region. It is impossible to overcome the differences between them and the anthropological its Arab neighbors. These differences will kill any Israeli attempt to integrate in the region. Only if the decision to go beyond concepts of Alantheroblogip transition to tolerance and openness. It can be confirmed that Israel is incapable of achieving this transformation.
2 - Economy Aid
After more than half a century for having the economy of Israel's economy continues to aid. This is due to a number of reasons in the forefront of a purely military nature of this State. Military spending beyond the ambitions of national income. And where production-oriented in the direction of the military. Add to force Israel to achieve economic abundance of the population where most of them prefer to leave Israel if it dropped the level of prosperity. Here it should be noted that the creation of Israel depended on the Jews of the poor while the rich preferred to the United States. Without renouncing its support for Israel economically. Therefore, Israel fought several attempts to overcome this reality was to resort to the black deals and drug trafficking, cultivation, money laundering and other operations condemned legally and financially profitable. It recognizes its inability to continue in these processes being mostly incompatible with American interests.
3 - the problem of identity.
It is clear that in the composition of the Israeli parties. They may even more evident with the arrival of Russian Jews who have established their parties and gatherings and to inform them of their own. While Israelis questioned the Jewishness of the Jewish two-thirds of the Russians. But the involvement of the Russians in the next two common culture as a factor proved more attractive and effective than
The religious factor. In that threat to Israeli identity-based now. Which tries to overcome the secularists accept any person of Jewish descent no matter how far. And acceptance of Russian Jews was not only the translation process of this tendency, which sensed the danger to the continuity of Israel, which is caused by the depletion of the reservoir of human Jew outside of Israel and not about Arab threats. Hnaalina not rush and launch an internal Israeli conflict hypothesis. The Jews throughout history, has perfected a game of sharing roles and then participate in reaping the results. From here we can say that the militant role in preventing the melting of Jews abroad. And secular role in the search for new human supplies. The clash between the two groups is unlikely because of doctrinal differences. But it is not ruled out because of a dispute of interest. Even in this case, the conflict will be the type of exclusion and not a clash. The sense that the party who finds himself or herself, but does not differ from true migration from Israel. This accelerates the withdrawal end of Israel. If he has begun limited. Israeli statistics indicate the migration of Israeli 25000 per annum. If we combine these with the shrinking demographic migration "lack of reproduction rate" and depletion of the reserve we are aware of the Jewish human scale of the crisis in Israel.
4 - Home of the Union or lanes?
The Jews living in Israel within the communities identified within the countries of origin. Any country that made him the migrants. And because of the deep cultural differences between these groups, we find that this division prevents Israel from the home to the Union of the ghettos or the lanes Judaism. This division has its roots in Jewish history. In terms of different tribes. Returning to the theory of historical extrapolation, we find that history tends to cancel Ansharrat with the recent revival of old quarrels.
5 - the Israeli forces.
The State of Israel is very powerful to give security for their populations to confirm their ability to aggression on the boundaries. Other than that it is a country does not have not even viable. In addition to their dependence on external aid, a country on the international and humanitarian norms. Suffice it to review the vetoes and the size of the U.S. American support for them to deduce the amount of reliability. As for the atomic weapons are also not accepted internationally. The use of these weapons disabled geographically. It runs the risk that these weapons into Israel. And this is enough to conclude that they are force and latency of the force in the functional role they play in the service of American interests. Consequently, the submission of the Arab American power alone. For the rogue punished.
6 - Hoam death in Israel.
When Israel in 1948 was considered a model for the nation state. We have succeeded in a timely manner to bring volunteers to fight the Jews of the world. Today, the willingness of Jews to death is no longer an option. So like the rest of the welfare states in the world. That you want to enjoy well-being without human victims. Hoam so it seems as if death is the preserve of the poor people. This poverty is the one who makes the current wars small and limited numbers of victims with inflation.
These reasons enough to predict the end of Israel, but not enough to end associated with the timing of this in all cases of changes of the American kind. And the end intolerable number of scenarios. If the logic would investigate Israeli immune factors, it leads us to conclude that these factors belong to the immune system, which has prevented the Jewish melting Jews despite repeated Taktehm historically natural conditions to continue. Is it possible to believe without a final of such immunity?.
The end of Israel is linked to poor immune Judaism. Hmaaldaf began Alaimh Baltbdi clearly at the beginning of Zionism. Jewish fanaticism that has turned the usual religious sphere to the social level. Zionism and even seemed as if the General Social for the Jews. Which encouraged the melting of the Jews in their communities. So that only the impact of the Zionist dream on the poor and terrified of the propaganda of the Holocaust. But recent setbacks have been more impact and depth. Where archaeological research refutes Almruyat biblical and carry with them doubt all the myths of Judaism. Here it might helpful to review the analysis of Freud's Jewish founding fathers as a legend says: "... The proportion of the new religion of Jehovah's founding fathers to the goal of publicizing the Jews link the land and the prevention of hate hunting ... foreign conquerors."
From the above, we find that put the "end of Israel" is to offer not lacking in objectivity with logical justifications to support it. Especially as different theoretical perspectives adopt this proposal, and supported by the arguments of the theory can not be ignored. So that the Israeli bodies adopt this approach with the call to action Alytogel this end. This leads us to discuss the theoretical premises of these propositions.
Israel - Theories of the end
Tarho hypothesis ultimately belongs to the Israeli theory of disparate doctrines. They spring from the very backgrounds the conflict. Therefore, we find the need to classify them according to their movements and start with:
1 - current future
Futurists agree on the classification of Israel in check entity grown in a hostile environment. Where it refers to the historical extrapolation three possibilities for the future of this entity are:
A - to contain this environment the new entity and melting to become part
Them. Along the lines of what happened to Arjen, who colonized India.
B - that the invaders integrated with local people. Along the lines of what happened in Latin America, for example.
C - that the invaders have the ability openness and be able to entice local people to establish a project socio - a quirky reputation.
The fourth rule out the possibility remains for some reason Prospective demographic. Preparation of the Jews is not sufficient to dissolve the indigenous peoples as it did with the Aryan Indians.
After this agreement begins in the future than their analysis of the future of Israel. It connects some of them U.S. disappearance of crisis to come. While others go to calculate the average age of occupations that experienced historic Palestine, with removal of the colonial status of the Ottomans, who ruled the region from within the culture. The latest trend underlines the resurgence of fascism after two generations missing. This means returning around 2020 the view of this trend that the Jews will be the first affected by this emission.
2 - Jews Altoratyon.
They consider that the establishment of Israel in its current form is contrary to the will of the Lord which he must revenge on those contrary to the will. The emergence of the Savior and the need for introduction of this institution to do. This category of Jews is the only one that can accelerate the achievement of the end of Israel. Although small numbers of followers.
3 - the Islamists.
They rely premises faith with the logical strength of the cross-Jewish behavior that has brought defeats and repeated massacres of the Jews. And the continuity of this behavior, it must lead them to a new defeats. A fundamental difference with the strength of their belief that the end of Israel will be at the hands of Muslims. Some of them go to identify specifically the year 2020 as the date for the end of Israel. Agree with certain future!.
4 - Arab nationalist trend.
And this trend stems from the rejection of the hypotheses of the death of nationalism and insists on national rebirth, without specifying a Zmana. However, it linked by the ability to confront Israel and accelerate an end. From Israel as a colonial, like the rest of the colonists. With an initial rejection of any allegations of Israeli archeology.
Israel and the scenarios of the end
Disappearance of Israel is less strongly the subject is no longer seen to this end as one of the daydreams of the enemies of Israel and the Arabs of them in particular. Much so that even attempting to imagine the level of the end of this scenario that leads to it.
This issue is gaining importance with the double sensor Israeli strategists to this end trying to propose solutions to the crises that can accelerate this end. The following is to offer examples of the scenarios proposed for the demise of Israel. Where we offer scenarios proposed by the strategic Israeli Justice Minister Yossi Beilin, and by the future Jacques Attali and we also offer to the scenario proposed by the liberal Arabs.
1 - scenario Jacques Attali.
Attali outlined his vision of the demise of Israel in an article published in the French magazine L'Express, where he saw that Israel is currently living in isolation unprecedented and unusual for them. And that they face the threat of extinction more than they did in the day.
This threat is no longer able to enemies of the ownership of weapons and military means are capable of threatening destruction. As Israel continues the author's most powerful army in the region, the fourth in the world.
But the reason is that Israel is facing threats of whatever tended affect its future and existence itself. If war broke out in the region at present, it will not be a war of armies battling a classic. But transformed into a kind of civil war fought each other young Palestinians and Israeli settlers. Who will run in bloody confrontations in the streets and villages of Palestine and Israel.
But if the miracle happened - of peace, the advent of peace would entail a common market that includes all countries in the region. Including Lebanon, Egypt, Syria, Palestine, Iraq and Jordan. This market will be similar to the European common market. The national identities melt gradually. Thus, Israel will become a minority demographic and cultural in this market. Especially after they settle in their territory opposed by the people today. Which would lose its status of the Jewish state. In the cases of war and peace, the Zionist dream has also developed a century ago seemed doomed to fail. In the face of this double bind seems free of the Israeli elite and had lost the strategic vision or clear reference current strategic stalemate Israel is that it does not want to fight a costly war for the current generation as it fears the results of peace to future generations.
2 - scenario Yossi Beilin.
Takes the form of prospective future and the proposed preventive depending upon warning of the presence of non-Arab threats to the survival of Israel. But this scenario seems clear through the book Beilin, entitled "Death of the American Uncle," which provides a review of the Zionist project. And see that the mainstream of the movement - is biased to Herzl, who failed to achieve the Zionist dream. Herzl was intended granting the Jews of Europe refuge pursuits. Hence his willingness to discuss any proposal to secure this objective anywhere in the world and quickly. At that time were not the initial choice of Palestine for the Jews of Europe. Therefore, their rich and emigrated to the United States. Here, Palin declared: "I feel a kind of hysteria and fear about the melting of the Jewish people outside the State of Israel. Today, after 51 years since the creation of Israel there were 13 million Jews lived 10 million of them in the United States and Israel, and Eastern Europe it is less attractive because most of them Jews dreamed of migration Altdpo to the U.S. 60% of them hold mixed marriages. and so do the American Jews, leading to a continuous decrease of the number of Jews abroad. which deprives Israel of the human reservoir of Jewish blood. "
Beilin and uses this warning as an input to put the problem of definition of a Jew. Definition now adopted in Israel says that the Jew is born to a Jewish mother and became a Jew according to Jewish law, and endorsed by the Orthodox rabbis. Palin believes that this definition restricts religious forums a matter of national character. It deprives millions of people who identify themselves as Jews from the Jewish Israeli. The number of those disenfranchised in the United States alone, between 2 and 3 million Jews. And concludes the assertion that the insistence on this law is a kind of collective suicide.
In other words, find the end of Israel Beilin in this Act for that reason to replace secular law based on personal desire. Accept Israel as a person if he so wishes, whatever the origins of Jewish far. This calls for leniency to the question about Israel's ability to afford the new division of identity that would result from acceptance of half-and quarter-Jews?. The answer is that such a strategic Beilin Alyarab preferably those who will force Israel to accept them if they recognized the Jewish human reservoir depletion.
Here specifically reflected the current crisis of the Zionist project. It is a difficult choice. Either accept the voluntary demographic chaos - built acceptance of those Jews, either to accept the open Ocean
Arab who would turn Israel into a supermarket, according to Arab fashionable term in the Israeli press. And secularists like Beilin prefer the first option, not because of their tolerance, but because of their conviction that the Jewish fanaticism does not come from religion, but of belonging Ilycab God's chosen. Accordingly, the acceptance of Jews in the counter-quarters of the people does not mean accepting smaller group of fanatical. On the contrary, and this is confirmed by the analysis of the psychological mechanism through autism, they may become more fanatical and extreme. This view finds support in the example of Jews and Arabs who have become more hostile to their country of origin of the Ashkenazi Zionists. But they are more Zionist than those of Ashkenazi Although racial discrimination suffered by them by them.
Whatever the case, Israel is aware that the seriousness of the demographic threat is real risk that threaten its future and not risk the military. They therefore prefer to risk chaos internal openness. Because the latter is equivalent to recognition by the end of the Zionist dream.
2 - scenario Arabism - Liberal.
The Oslo Agreement beginning of the end thinking the elimination of Israel by an Arab. Has devoted this agreement turning the Palestinian resistance from military action to diplomatic negotiation. Which are seen by the Arab public opinion with great caution. Especially as the secret of this Agreement and the parallel negotiations have not been left to the public the opportunity to accept the idea. As is well known, the numerous Palestinian factions are still opposed to this agreement. However, the start of the process of practical implementation, and U.S. support has made this agreement a sentence facto U.S. monopoly on Israel's human obstruction and around it. On the Arab level, it has become this agreement to the additional element of the Arab differences. So it is preferable to avoid sensitive mentioned in the joints. It seemed as if we are waiting for the second Gulf War
We lose at the same time Alamkin strategic and economic. This loss, which on the Arab nationalist trend to the end of the latency central common nationalities. And with the death of a common Arab nationalism. Taking into account any thinking in the face of Israel a kind of daydream romance. That touch the madness after allowing Israel's announcement of its title for 200 nuclear warheads and the capacity of non-destructive confrontation.
In these circumstances turned to discuss the future of Israel from the tactical level to address academic discourse - in theory. Here, we can not neglect the great effort made by Dr. Abdul Wahab Messiri across masterpiece, "Jews and Judaism and Zionism." Have been recorded observations of principle - a historical link to the strength of Israel and the functional role specified in the service of foreign interests. Since its inception was the state reliability (based Alyda'm outside in all areas) so the economy continues to aid the economy and society is still a military (army is the people of Israel are mobilized reservists Andmatdao needed) and the hopes of increasing integration with the surrounding eroded with time. Especially with the adoption of a negotiating style and its opposite, the more powerful party in most need of a personal Jewish history. This feature is accompanied by force and fraud Alyalkzb without which there can be impossible to achieve contradictory goals.
He concludes his analysis of this scenario predict the demise of Israel with the demise of the need for a functional role and by the time to ask the question about the possibility of continued cultivation of a member of coercive Ghraib in the body rejecting it?
Concluding remarks
Beginning of the recall that the arguments presented above Ktsourat the end of Israel is the theoretical arguments and not ideology. This type of propositions is promoted not only through discussion and put to the subject for comparison with other proposals, whether supporting or opposing him.
We have seen that putting Yossi Beilin, is to ask the warning include a call for reform of what he sees as a kind of imbalance on the emergency of the Zionist project. If we reviewed the categories of Israeli extremists, we find that they are proposing the adoption of extremism as a solution to the current crises Israel. This proposal is attracting increasing numbers of Israelis. This evidence is the growing influence of extremists in the Knesset, and access to increasing proportions of the votes of the Israeli electorate. Including the refusal of the idea of the suffering of those of Israel from the real crisis requiring review called for by the secularists. Particularly in terms of re-consideration of the law that defines the Jewish right of return to Israel and obtain citizenship. On the other hand, we find that the extremists have turned a blind eye on the resettlement of 650 thousand Rossi doubtful Behudithm. Reflecting A_i_arhm of the crisis with the announcement of their refusal to do so.
Whatever the case, Israel draws its strength and continuity of support extraordinary offer a truly unique by the United States in particular and European countries in sub. The continuation of this support means the continuation of Israel is strong and capable. It implies the continuation of Israel's ability to play a functional role required. Thus, the logic requires us discuss the level of functional capacity of this country from the point of Nzeralmstviden Hmaalldor. Which means the need to focus on the attitudes of three poles are key: the U.S. administration and the U.S. Congress and Europe.
Before this debate, we must refer to total variables played a role in impeding the career of Israel. Not to exaggerate downloaded not afford. The beginning of the end of the Cold War affected the role of Israel as a forward base in the face of communism. However, the attempts of the Russian Federation to establish new alliances (with the countries of the former Soviet Union or with China, or through support for new alliances in the areas surrounding the Union) gave Israel the role of preparedness for future face of such possibilities. At the level of protection
Oil fields and secure access to content has become so through direct U.S. military presence in the region. But this presence is surrounded by a hostile ocean. Infrastructure to restore to Israel as part of its role at this level. As for the desire of the United States to get rid of the burden of helping Israel because the parties are working to find alternatives, including power of attorney Israel black operations that you want the United States avoided. Among these processes the membership of the mafia and drug cartels, money laundering and suspicious arms deals and get a share of the goods across the Arab peace settlement with the Arabs temporary ... etc from profitable operations that Israel can go into them without fear of any party as long as the U.S. has a cover.
From the above we have the right to support propositions presented above do not suffer in terms of threats to Israel from a real strategy at least in the foreseeable future. On the other hand, we can not ignore the threats Abannionp pressing on this entity and threatened for his career, inter alia, carry threats. The rise of Jewish fundamentalism brought Israel out of the ranks of the state that match their beliefs and values with the Bank. So are similar to South Africa's apartheid system. As the sense of criticism of the Europeans more sophisticated than that of Americans, Europeans started to realize the reality that Israel's democracy, and subject to the rule of the military generals. Here, too, it should be noted that the British Labor Party supports the positions of Zionism and play influential roles in Israel's interest. Germany also has a dilemma Holocaust hampered by the Declaration of convictions of this kind. Finally, the functional role Israel is still active for Europeans. Who welcome the role of Israeli economic actor in the process of economic globalization. As for the U.S. administration, this administration still aware that the interactions Middle East is not going in the right direction to it. Therefore, it is committed to Israel as a strategic ally to counter any possible surprises in the
The region. And come to the U.S. Congress who back the Arabs neglect its importance and effectiveness to find that Israel had failed to achieve complete control over it. However, it has also demonstrated the ability of the Jewish lobby for the exclusion of senators who have shown a vocal opponent of Israel. Where the password down these senators are "anti-Semitism", which was enough to remove dozens of senators from public life.
That factor analysis of Jewish influence in America is not possible shortcut logo welfare and American interests. But that there is psychological factors - social can not be ignored. U.S. citizen almost lose the sense of cash and are undergoing absolute connotation media (where Israel to maintain a fair share in this information). The American electoral system (at the presidency and Congress and others) makes the American system is more affected by world systems (and sometimes submissive) to pressure groups. This
What catches the Jewish lobby, from the beginning and exploited the best use.
And so can be assured that there is no real danger threatening the demise of Israel in the foreseeable future, but we can say that the Zionist project in the way of slouch and with the State that embody it. We can shorten the manifestations of this slack as follows:
1 - The current generation of Jews is different from the generation that Ayesh World War II. The main points of this difference is cooled the enthusiasm of the current generation of Zionism. And its involvement in the current Israeli political convert to the field of conflicts of identity.
2 - the growing demands of the role career, forcing the Israeli government to take unpopular decisions. Decisions which often lead to escalation of conflict over identity. Where rebel Orthodox Jews, for example, total submission by the state of the U.S. orders. This rebellion, which did not find an outlet for political expression only by Netanyahu. And then the protests across the Shas party
On what he called the concessions Barak. Which led to the withdrawal of Shas from the government.
3 - the difficulty of combining a partnership between the United States in the trends of globalization and Jewish fundamentalism, which sees in globalization direct threat to the Jewish heritage.
4 - the growing public awareness of the global non-objective conditions for peace in Israel. Which threatens the ability of governments to continue to provide current levels of support for Israel.
However, the region continues to ownership of the most important oil reserves worldwide. This leads to the continuity of strategic importance and with it the need for Israel. In contrast, the Zionist project is unable to continue in its present form it was no longer able to attract new generations. The economy of aid to Israel makes Israel vulnerable to the vagaries of the economy and policies of the countries supporting them. Thus, this state is not threatened in the foreseeable future but it doomed to fall under all the theories for the future. For our part, less likely to proposals argument that its fall from the inside of indicators for this fall is a former Altbdi and readability early. Perhaps the first of these readings were "the assassination of Rabin.
1 - perverse consequences of the shock of 1967.
2 - Egypt dramatic exit from the scene of the confrontation.
3 - America's containment of the Bay and Hrbah the first and second part of this containment, which reached its peak through its current form.
4 - Israel's military superiority coupled with their need to prove their ability to aggression Review as a means to bring confidence to the Israelis.
5 - Israel's strategic alliance with unipolar and full bias to their advantage.
These reasons is sufficient to impede the rationalization vermin and thinking of being capable of implementation and certification. The degree of realism has become her means of delivery by the end of Arab nationalism, and in time became the so-called beautiful. The charges are irrational and romantic ready to throw any advocacy of the League of Arab no matter how modest ambition. Thus, absent from the consciousness that the idea of the end is the idea of Israel in a very logical and has isnaads Brahinha and empirically different from the scenario that we envisaged these days to the end. Bringing the imbalance is not limited to the scenario and the idea itself. Consider the rationale supporting the idea of the end of Israel.
1 - Entity grown
Israel is an exotic entity and implanted in the Arab region. It is impossible to overcome the differences between them and the anthropological its Arab neighbors. These differences will kill any Israeli attempt to integrate in the region. Only if the decision to go beyond concepts of Alantheroblogip transition to tolerance and openness. It can be confirmed that Israel is incapable of achieving this transformation.
2 - Economy Aid
After more than half a century for having the economy of Israel's economy continues to aid. This is due to a number of reasons in the forefront of a purely military nature of this State. Military spending beyond the ambitions of national income. And where production-oriented in the direction of the military. Add to force Israel to achieve economic abundance of the population where most of them prefer to leave Israel if it dropped the level of prosperity. Here it should be noted that the creation of Israel depended on the Jews of the poor while the rich preferred to the United States. Without renouncing its support for Israel economically. Therefore, Israel fought several attempts to overcome this reality was to resort to the black deals and drug trafficking, cultivation, money laundering and other operations condemned legally and financially profitable. It recognizes its inability to continue in these processes being mostly incompatible with American interests.
3 - the problem of identity.
It is clear that in the composition of the Israeli parties. They may even more evident with the arrival of Russian Jews who have established their parties and gatherings and to inform them of their own. While Israelis questioned the Jewishness of the Jewish two-thirds of the Russians. But the involvement of the Russians in the next two common culture as a factor proved more attractive and effective than
The religious factor. In that threat to Israeli identity-based now. Which tries to overcome the secularists accept any person of Jewish descent no matter how far. And acceptance of Russian Jews was not only the translation process of this tendency, which sensed the danger to the continuity of Israel, which is caused by the depletion of the reservoir of human Jew outside of Israel and not about Arab threats. Hnaalina not rush and launch an internal Israeli conflict hypothesis. The Jews throughout history, has perfected a game of sharing roles and then participate in reaping the results. From here we can say that the militant role in preventing the melting of Jews abroad. And secular role in the search for new human supplies. The clash between the two groups is unlikely because of doctrinal differences. But it is not ruled out because of a dispute of interest. Even in this case, the conflict will be the type of exclusion and not a clash. The sense that the party who finds himself or herself, but does not differ from true migration from Israel. This accelerates the withdrawal end of Israel. If he has begun limited. Israeli statistics indicate the migration of Israeli 25000 per annum. If we combine these with the shrinking demographic migration "lack of reproduction rate" and depletion of the reserve we are aware of the Jewish human scale of the crisis in Israel.
4 - Home of the Union or lanes?
The Jews living in Israel within the communities identified within the countries of origin. Any country that made him the migrants. And because of the deep cultural differences between these groups, we find that this division prevents Israel from the home to the Union of the ghettos or the lanes Judaism. This division has its roots in Jewish history. In terms of different tribes. Returning to the theory of historical extrapolation, we find that history tends to cancel Ansharrat with the recent revival of old quarrels.
5 - the Israeli forces.
The State of Israel is very powerful to give security for their populations to confirm their ability to aggression on the boundaries. Other than that it is a country does not have not even viable. In addition to their dependence on external aid, a country on the international and humanitarian norms. Suffice it to review the vetoes and the size of the U.S. American support for them to deduce the amount of reliability. As for the atomic weapons are also not accepted internationally. The use of these weapons disabled geographically. It runs the risk that these weapons into Israel. And this is enough to conclude that they are force and latency of the force in the functional role they play in the service of American interests. Consequently, the submission of the Arab American power alone. For the rogue punished.
6 - Hoam death in Israel.
When Israel in 1948 was considered a model for the nation state. We have succeeded in a timely manner to bring volunteers to fight the Jews of the world. Today, the willingness of Jews to death is no longer an option. So like the rest of the welfare states in the world. That you want to enjoy well-being without human victims. Hoam so it seems as if death is the preserve of the poor people. This poverty is the one who makes the current wars small and limited numbers of victims with inflation.
These reasons enough to predict the end of Israel, but not enough to end associated with the timing of this in all cases of changes of the American kind. And the end intolerable number of scenarios. If the logic would investigate Israeli immune factors, it leads us to conclude that these factors belong to the immune system, which has prevented the Jewish melting Jews despite repeated Taktehm historically natural conditions to continue. Is it possible to believe without a final of such immunity?.
The end of Israel is linked to poor immune Judaism. Hmaaldaf began Alaimh Baltbdi clearly at the beginning of Zionism. Jewish fanaticism that has turned the usual religious sphere to the social level. Zionism and even seemed as if the General Social for the Jews. Which encouraged the melting of the Jews in their communities. So that only the impact of the Zionist dream on the poor and terrified of the propaganda of the Holocaust. But recent setbacks have been more impact and depth. Where archaeological research refutes Almruyat biblical and carry with them doubt all the myths of Judaism. Here it might helpful to review the analysis of Freud's Jewish founding fathers as a legend says: "... The proportion of the new religion of Jehovah's founding fathers to the goal of publicizing the Jews link the land and the prevention of hate hunting ... foreign conquerors."
From the above, we find that put the "end of Israel" is to offer not lacking in objectivity with logical justifications to support it. Especially as different theoretical perspectives adopt this proposal, and supported by the arguments of the theory can not be ignored. So that the Israeli bodies adopt this approach with the call to action Alytogel this end. This leads us to discuss the theoretical premises of these propositions.
Israel - Theories of the end
Tarho hypothesis ultimately belongs to the Israeli theory of disparate doctrines. They spring from the very backgrounds the conflict. Therefore, we find the need to classify them according to their movements and start with:
1 - current future
Futurists agree on the classification of Israel in check entity grown in a hostile environment. Where it refers to the historical extrapolation three possibilities for the future of this entity are:
A - to contain this environment the new entity and melting to become part
Them. Along the lines of what happened to Arjen, who colonized India.
B - that the invaders integrated with local people. Along the lines of what happened in Latin America, for example.
C - that the invaders have the ability openness and be able to entice local people to establish a project socio - a quirky reputation.
The fourth rule out the possibility remains for some reason Prospective demographic. Preparation of the Jews is not sufficient to dissolve the indigenous peoples as it did with the Aryan Indians.
After this agreement begins in the future than their analysis of the future of Israel. It connects some of them U.S. disappearance of crisis to come. While others go to calculate the average age of occupations that experienced historic Palestine, with removal of the colonial status of the Ottomans, who ruled the region from within the culture. The latest trend underlines the resurgence of fascism after two generations missing. This means returning around 2020 the view of this trend that the Jews will be the first affected by this emission.
2 - Jews Altoratyon.
They consider that the establishment of Israel in its current form is contrary to the will of the Lord which he must revenge on those contrary to the will. The emergence of the Savior and the need for introduction of this institution to do. This category of Jews is the only one that can accelerate the achievement of the end of Israel. Although small numbers of followers.
3 - the Islamists.
They rely premises faith with the logical strength of the cross-Jewish behavior that has brought defeats and repeated massacres of the Jews. And the continuity of this behavior, it must lead them to a new defeats. A fundamental difference with the strength of their belief that the end of Israel will be at the hands of Muslims. Some of them go to identify specifically the year 2020 as the date for the end of Israel. Agree with certain future!.
4 - Arab nationalist trend.
And this trend stems from the rejection of the hypotheses of the death of nationalism and insists on national rebirth, without specifying a Zmana. However, it linked by the ability to confront Israel and accelerate an end. From Israel as a colonial, like the rest of the colonists. With an initial rejection of any allegations of Israeli archeology.
Israel and the scenarios of the end
Disappearance of Israel is less strongly the subject is no longer seen to this end as one of the daydreams of the enemies of Israel and the Arabs of them in particular. Much so that even attempting to imagine the level of the end of this scenario that leads to it.
This issue is gaining importance with the double sensor Israeli strategists to this end trying to propose solutions to the crises that can accelerate this end. The following is to offer examples of the scenarios proposed for the demise of Israel. Where we offer scenarios proposed by the strategic Israeli Justice Minister Yossi Beilin, and by the future Jacques Attali and we also offer to the scenario proposed by the liberal Arabs.
1 - scenario Jacques Attali.
Attali outlined his vision of the demise of Israel in an article published in the French magazine L'Express, where he saw that Israel is currently living in isolation unprecedented and unusual for them. And that they face the threat of extinction more than they did in the day.
This threat is no longer able to enemies of the ownership of weapons and military means are capable of threatening destruction. As Israel continues the author's most powerful army in the region, the fourth in the world.
But the reason is that Israel is facing threats of whatever tended affect its future and existence itself. If war broke out in the region at present, it will not be a war of armies battling a classic. But transformed into a kind of civil war fought each other young Palestinians and Israeli settlers. Who will run in bloody confrontations in the streets and villages of Palestine and Israel.
But if the miracle happened - of peace, the advent of peace would entail a common market that includes all countries in the region. Including Lebanon, Egypt, Syria, Palestine, Iraq and Jordan. This market will be similar to the European common market. The national identities melt gradually. Thus, Israel will become a minority demographic and cultural in this market. Especially after they settle in their territory opposed by the people today. Which would lose its status of the Jewish state. In the cases of war and peace, the Zionist dream has also developed a century ago seemed doomed to fail. In the face of this double bind seems free of the Israeli elite and had lost the strategic vision or clear reference current strategic stalemate Israel is that it does not want to fight a costly war for the current generation as it fears the results of peace to future generations.
2 - scenario Yossi Beilin.
Takes the form of prospective future and the proposed preventive depending upon warning of the presence of non-Arab threats to the survival of Israel. But this scenario seems clear through the book Beilin, entitled "Death of the American Uncle," which provides a review of the Zionist project. And see that the mainstream of the movement - is biased to Herzl, who failed to achieve the Zionist dream. Herzl was intended granting the Jews of Europe refuge pursuits. Hence his willingness to discuss any proposal to secure this objective anywhere in the world and quickly. At that time were not the initial choice of Palestine for the Jews of Europe. Therefore, their rich and emigrated to the United States. Here, Palin declared: "I feel a kind of hysteria and fear about the melting of the Jewish people outside the State of Israel. Today, after 51 years since the creation of Israel there were 13 million Jews lived 10 million of them in the United States and Israel, and Eastern Europe it is less attractive because most of them Jews dreamed of migration Altdpo to the U.S. 60% of them hold mixed marriages. and so do the American Jews, leading to a continuous decrease of the number of Jews abroad. which deprives Israel of the human reservoir of Jewish blood. "
Beilin and uses this warning as an input to put the problem of definition of a Jew. Definition now adopted in Israel says that the Jew is born to a Jewish mother and became a Jew according to Jewish law, and endorsed by the Orthodox rabbis. Palin believes that this definition restricts religious forums a matter of national character. It deprives millions of people who identify themselves as Jews from the Jewish Israeli. The number of those disenfranchised in the United States alone, between 2 and 3 million Jews. And concludes the assertion that the insistence on this law is a kind of collective suicide.
In other words, find the end of Israel Beilin in this Act for that reason to replace secular law based on personal desire. Accept Israel as a person if he so wishes, whatever the origins of Jewish far. This calls for leniency to the question about Israel's ability to afford the new division of identity that would result from acceptance of half-and quarter-Jews?. The answer is that such a strategic Beilin Alyarab preferably those who will force Israel to accept them if they recognized the Jewish human reservoir depletion.
Here specifically reflected the current crisis of the Zionist project. It is a difficult choice. Either accept the voluntary demographic chaos - built acceptance of those Jews, either to accept the open Ocean
Arab who would turn Israel into a supermarket, according to Arab fashionable term in the Israeli press. And secularists like Beilin prefer the first option, not because of their tolerance, but because of their conviction that the Jewish fanaticism does not come from religion, but of belonging Ilycab God's chosen. Accordingly, the acceptance of Jews in the counter-quarters of the people does not mean accepting smaller group of fanatical. On the contrary, and this is confirmed by the analysis of the psychological mechanism through autism, they may become more fanatical and extreme. This view finds support in the example of Jews and Arabs who have become more hostile to their country of origin of the Ashkenazi Zionists. But they are more Zionist than those of Ashkenazi Although racial discrimination suffered by them by them.
Whatever the case, Israel is aware that the seriousness of the demographic threat is real risk that threaten its future and not risk the military. They therefore prefer to risk chaos internal openness. Because the latter is equivalent to recognition by the end of the Zionist dream.
2 - scenario Arabism - Liberal.
The Oslo Agreement beginning of the end thinking the elimination of Israel by an Arab. Has devoted this agreement turning the Palestinian resistance from military action to diplomatic negotiation. Which are seen by the Arab public opinion with great caution. Especially as the secret of this Agreement and the parallel negotiations have not been left to the public the opportunity to accept the idea. As is well known, the numerous Palestinian factions are still opposed to this agreement. However, the start of the process of practical implementation, and U.S. support has made this agreement a sentence facto U.S. monopoly on Israel's human obstruction and around it. On the Arab level, it has become this agreement to the additional element of the Arab differences. So it is preferable to avoid sensitive mentioned in the joints. It seemed as if we are waiting for the second Gulf War
We lose at the same time Alamkin strategic and economic. This loss, which on the Arab nationalist trend to the end of the latency central common nationalities. And with the death of a common Arab nationalism. Taking into account any thinking in the face of Israel a kind of daydream romance. That touch the madness after allowing Israel's announcement of its title for 200 nuclear warheads and the capacity of non-destructive confrontation.
In these circumstances turned to discuss the future of Israel from the tactical level to address academic discourse - in theory. Here, we can not neglect the great effort made by Dr. Abdul Wahab Messiri across masterpiece, "Jews and Judaism and Zionism." Have been recorded observations of principle - a historical link to the strength of Israel and the functional role specified in the service of foreign interests. Since its inception was the state reliability (based Alyda'm outside in all areas) so the economy continues to aid the economy and society is still a military (army is the people of Israel are mobilized reservists Andmatdao needed) and the hopes of increasing integration with the surrounding eroded with time. Especially with the adoption of a negotiating style and its opposite, the more powerful party in most need of a personal Jewish history. This feature is accompanied by force and fraud Alyalkzb without which there can be impossible to achieve contradictory goals.
He concludes his analysis of this scenario predict the demise of Israel with the demise of the need for a functional role and by the time to ask the question about the possibility of continued cultivation of a member of coercive Ghraib in the body rejecting it?
Concluding remarks
Beginning of the recall that the arguments presented above Ktsourat the end of Israel is the theoretical arguments and not ideology. This type of propositions is promoted not only through discussion and put to the subject for comparison with other proposals, whether supporting or opposing him.
We have seen that putting Yossi Beilin, is to ask the warning include a call for reform of what he sees as a kind of imbalance on the emergency of the Zionist project. If we reviewed the categories of Israeli extremists, we find that they are proposing the adoption of extremism as a solution to the current crises Israel. This proposal is attracting increasing numbers of Israelis. This evidence is the growing influence of extremists in the Knesset, and access to increasing proportions of the votes of the Israeli electorate. Including the refusal of the idea of the suffering of those of Israel from the real crisis requiring review called for by the secularists. Particularly in terms of re-consideration of the law that defines the Jewish right of return to Israel and obtain citizenship. On the other hand, we find that the extremists have turned a blind eye on the resettlement of 650 thousand Rossi doubtful Behudithm. Reflecting A_i_arhm of the crisis with the announcement of their refusal to do so.
Whatever the case, Israel draws its strength and continuity of support extraordinary offer a truly unique by the United States in particular and European countries in sub. The continuation of this support means the continuation of Israel is strong and capable. It implies the continuation of Israel's ability to play a functional role required. Thus, the logic requires us discuss the level of functional capacity of this country from the point of Nzeralmstviden Hmaalldor. Which means the need to focus on the attitudes of three poles are key: the U.S. administration and the U.S. Congress and Europe.
Before this debate, we must refer to total variables played a role in impeding the career of Israel. Not to exaggerate downloaded not afford. The beginning of the end of the Cold War affected the role of Israel as a forward base in the face of communism. However, the attempts of the Russian Federation to establish new alliances (with the countries of the former Soviet Union or with China, or through support for new alliances in the areas surrounding the Union) gave Israel the role of preparedness for future face of such possibilities. At the level of protection
Oil fields and secure access to content has become so through direct U.S. military presence in the region. But this presence is surrounded by a hostile ocean. Infrastructure to restore to Israel as part of its role at this level. As for the desire of the United States to get rid of the burden of helping Israel because the parties are working to find alternatives, including power of attorney Israel black operations that you want the United States avoided. Among these processes the membership of the mafia and drug cartels, money laundering and suspicious arms deals and get a share of the goods across the Arab peace settlement with the Arabs temporary ... etc from profitable operations that Israel can go into them without fear of any party as long as the U.S. has a cover.
From the above we have the right to support propositions presented above do not suffer in terms of threats to Israel from a real strategy at least in the foreseeable future. On the other hand, we can not ignore the threats Abannionp pressing on this entity and threatened for his career, inter alia, carry threats. The rise of Jewish fundamentalism brought Israel out of the ranks of the state that match their beliefs and values with the Bank. So are similar to South Africa's apartheid system. As the sense of criticism of the Europeans more sophisticated than that of Americans, Europeans started to realize the reality that Israel's democracy, and subject to the rule of the military generals. Here, too, it should be noted that the British Labor Party supports the positions of Zionism and play influential roles in Israel's interest. Germany also has a dilemma Holocaust hampered by the Declaration of convictions of this kind. Finally, the functional role Israel is still active for Europeans. Who welcome the role of Israeli economic actor in the process of economic globalization. As for the U.S. administration, this administration still aware that the interactions Middle East is not going in the right direction to it. Therefore, it is committed to Israel as a strategic ally to counter any possible surprises in the
The region. And come to the U.S. Congress who back the Arabs neglect its importance and effectiveness to find that Israel had failed to achieve complete control over it. However, it has also demonstrated the ability of the Jewish lobby for the exclusion of senators who have shown a vocal opponent of Israel. Where the password down these senators are "anti-Semitism", which was enough to remove dozens of senators from public life.
That factor analysis of Jewish influence in America is not possible shortcut logo welfare and American interests. But that there is psychological factors - social can not be ignored. U.S. citizen almost lose the sense of cash and are undergoing absolute connotation media (where Israel to maintain a fair share in this information). The American electoral system (at the presidency and Congress and others) makes the American system is more affected by world systems (and sometimes submissive) to pressure groups. This
What catches the Jewish lobby, from the beginning and exploited the best use.
And so can be assured that there is no real danger threatening the demise of Israel in the foreseeable future, but we can say that the Zionist project in the way of slouch and with the State that embody it. We can shorten the manifestations of this slack as follows:
1 - The current generation of Jews is different from the generation that Ayesh World War II. The main points of this difference is cooled the enthusiasm of the current generation of Zionism. And its involvement in the current Israeli political convert to the field of conflicts of identity.
2 - the growing demands of the role career, forcing the Israeli government to take unpopular decisions. Decisions which often lead to escalation of conflict over identity. Where rebel Orthodox Jews, for example, total submission by the state of the U.S. orders. This rebellion, which did not find an outlet for political expression only by Netanyahu. And then the protests across the Shas party
On what he called the concessions Barak. Which led to the withdrawal of Shas from the government.
3 - the difficulty of combining a partnership between the United States in the trends of globalization and Jewish fundamentalism, which sees in globalization direct threat to the Jewish heritage.
4 - the growing public awareness of the global non-objective conditions for peace in Israel. Which threatens the ability of governments to continue to provide current levels of support for Israel.
However, the region continues to ownership of the most important oil reserves worldwide. This leads to the continuity of strategic importance and with it the need for Israel. In contrast, the Zionist project is unable to continue in its present form it was no longer able to attract new generations. The economy of aid to Israel makes Israel vulnerable to the vagaries of the economy and policies of the countries supporting them. Thus, this state is not threatened in the foreseeable future but it doomed to fall under all the theories for the future. For our part, less likely to proposals argument that its fall from the inside of indicators for this fall is a former Altbdi and readability early. Perhaps the first of these readings were "the assassination of Rabin.
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