Since
the fall of the Soviet Union and the abandonment of Washington's policy
of dual containment and the Arab region prone to violent earthquakes
strategy which opened Kuwait's liberation war did not end the occupation
of Iraq war. Even
become impossible census repercussions of these seismic events,
especially since most of them hidden behind the deals are difficult to
detect and tracers current and future impacts.
Mildly effects of these defections it blew inter - Arab relations to reach intra-sour relations within the same region. Where enumerate only known from the first of these differences and disagreements planted by Egypt Mubarak before his departure with all Arab countries without exception, but in terms of degrees of disagreement. The followed by differences Gulf - Gulf turning up today without the completion of the Gulf train let alone the most in-depth projects?! ...
Of these effects also mention what the occupation entails the need to prevent the emergence of any party or survival of the dominant regional or regionally. And the abolition of regional organizations and prevent the emergence of new regional groupings hedge for the meeting of its interests in the direction of anti-occupation. What explains the fall of the Organization of the League of Arab States and the marginalized in all the crises of the liberation of Kuwait until the occupation of Iraq and target stations after him, especially Syria and Lebanon. The fall of this Arab Organization limits employed to cover aggression Atlantic on Arab countries such as Libya, regardless of the positions of the governor. It is accepted by the university employment and Iraqi blood wasted by the occupation not dry yet!.
Also necessary occupation dump the Gulf Cooperation Organization, where Washington took direct deal without a broker with countries including cooperation was enough to disrupt the equivalency board and توازناته. Where GCC entered individually in the Convention on International Trade in countries gathered attached Balatalsa. عداك for bilateral deals held by Washington with each country separately.
Then came the global economic crisis ordnance in 2008 (and returning to the pre-1996, in fact) to add to the crises in the region in light of strained its relations with each other as in the light of the U.S. military presence in Iraq and the beginning of the Russian presence in the region and returning it. Despite مطاولة the crisis, all Arab countries without exception, but the most balanced states toward the crisis topped the initiative in the region and possessed driven at the expense of a dramatic decline of the hardest hit countries.
At this point, and in parallel with the explosion of social unrest in European countries hardest hit by the crisis, the Arab Spring seemed ready to burst. But initial signals focused on the movement of the Muslim Brotherhood to exploit the crisis in order to achieve her dream of historical access to power. Hence the focus of the preventive steps of social unrest on Arab Muslim Brotherhood movement.
For its part, Washington has been active to enhance its impact by focusing on the Arab youth to turn toward liberalism in order to meet project Alakhuna. They face has drawn support from Arab countries المتخوفة of Brotherhood activity. As found other countries in Alakhuna, future investment tempting.
For these reasons, it was not surprising that the Arab protests launched from Tunisia, where the Brotherhood Renaissance Movement established. It also was not surprising that Egypt again stations protests for the same reasons. But the surprise of the two countries in the size of the audience was left in them and that has been uneven so manifested in protests interface for back Vibdy after months with the beginning of the show glitches in project Brotherhood evident. Where Pat the fall project Alakhuna a matter of time for the Arab political scene unfolding for assessments following features:
1 - Arab countries failed: the new Arab states joined to the list of failed states in recent years. And where you pay a new Arab states towards failure pricing across its internal conflicts.
2 - geographical surgery: where a long list of other Arab countries likely to split according to geography projects ready. Even some Arab countries in a state of division pending the announcement. عداك for de facto partition of Sudan.
3 - The failure of Arab regional organizations: where are these organizations folkloric character without any real ability to play functional roles assumed. This applies especially to the League of Arab States and its attached organizations.
4 - ideological conflict: the end of U.S. unilateral re-revival of this conflict after U.S. suggestions by the end of ideology. Pat monitor the Arab political scene shows the ideological conflict (ideological) between political Islam on the one hand and between the liberal and nationalist trends emerging on the other hand. And amid the loss of the project against the Islamic political powers corresponding inability to regroup according to modern formats appropriate. Which means the inability of the warring parties to find a political lever to the rescue.
5 - to demonize Arab relations: the disappearance of the dominant influence of regional powers under U.S. pressure Replaced this effect to exercise political influence intelligence closer to him to politics. So are the Arab countries complain about state intervention in the internal affairs of regional intelligence means. As lacked a strong ability of Arab countries its influence with Tqmust to the practice less powerful countries influential roles untapped structural chaos in the Arab system.
Based on these variables, the studies on the region's future political focus of academic research on three areas:
1 - strong regional policies: where to return to the Russian region rejects the balance of power imposed by Washington after the occupation of Iraq. What it pays to return the balance of power to the nines prior to the occupation of Iraq. Here are the smaller forces that the U.S. has received the support likely to return to its former size with what posed by this return stumbled within these countries as in Arab relations.
2 - regional institutions: the war in Iraq has been able to enter the Arab League Declaration valuable unprecedented coma. Does changing the regional balance of power to reform this organization to regain its role?. They should monitor the prospects for a new regional organizations based on the new balance of regional powers.
3 - external forces and regional patterns: the return of multipolarity push to support her friends and strengthen their role in the region. What means forced Washington to retreat from the pressures exerted on its Arab friends during the previous period.
This vision is not pessimistic but is reflect the reality of the situation and the fragility of the current Arab system and susceptibility to fragmentation across the escalation of disputes English. This situation is very similar to the situation of the Jews of Europe after the crisis infidels of the philosopher Jewish Spinoza, the day took the Jews their decision to cancel the charge of atonement to preserve the cohesion of the group, and when she returned to the Jews some force fired a substitute for atonement is a charge «Jew who hates himself», it may be %
Mildly effects of these defections it blew inter - Arab relations to reach intra-sour relations within the same region. Where enumerate only known from the first of these differences and disagreements planted by Egypt Mubarak before his departure with all Arab countries without exception, but in terms of degrees of disagreement. The followed by differences Gulf - Gulf turning up today without the completion of the Gulf train let alone the most in-depth projects?! ...
Of these effects also mention what the occupation entails the need to prevent the emergence of any party or survival of the dominant regional or regionally. And the abolition of regional organizations and prevent the emergence of new regional groupings hedge for the meeting of its interests in the direction of anti-occupation. What explains the fall of the Organization of the League of Arab States and the marginalized in all the crises of the liberation of Kuwait until the occupation of Iraq and target stations after him, especially Syria and Lebanon. The fall of this Arab Organization limits employed to cover aggression Atlantic on Arab countries such as Libya, regardless of the positions of the governor. It is accepted by the university employment and Iraqi blood wasted by the occupation not dry yet!.
Also necessary occupation dump the Gulf Cooperation Organization, where Washington took direct deal without a broker with countries including cooperation was enough to disrupt the equivalency board and توازناته. Where GCC entered individually in the Convention on International Trade in countries gathered attached Balatalsa. عداك for bilateral deals held by Washington with each country separately.
Then came the global economic crisis ordnance in 2008 (and returning to the pre-1996, in fact) to add to the crises in the region in light of strained its relations with each other as in the light of the U.S. military presence in Iraq and the beginning of the Russian presence in the region and returning it. Despite مطاولة the crisis, all Arab countries without exception, but the most balanced states toward the crisis topped the initiative in the region and possessed driven at the expense of a dramatic decline of the hardest hit countries.
At this point, and in parallel with the explosion of social unrest in European countries hardest hit by the crisis, the Arab Spring seemed ready to burst. But initial signals focused on the movement of the Muslim Brotherhood to exploit the crisis in order to achieve her dream of historical access to power. Hence the focus of the preventive steps of social unrest on Arab Muslim Brotherhood movement.
For its part, Washington has been active to enhance its impact by focusing on the Arab youth to turn toward liberalism in order to meet project Alakhuna. They face has drawn support from Arab countries المتخوفة of Brotherhood activity. As found other countries in Alakhuna, future investment tempting.
For these reasons, it was not surprising that the Arab protests launched from Tunisia, where the Brotherhood Renaissance Movement established. It also was not surprising that Egypt again stations protests for the same reasons. But the surprise of the two countries in the size of the audience was left in them and that has been uneven so manifested in protests interface for back Vibdy after months with the beginning of the show glitches in project Brotherhood evident. Where Pat the fall project Alakhuna a matter of time for the Arab political scene unfolding for assessments following features:
1 - Arab countries failed: the new Arab states joined to the list of failed states in recent years. And where you pay a new Arab states towards failure pricing across its internal conflicts.
2 - geographical surgery: where a long list of other Arab countries likely to split according to geography projects ready. Even some Arab countries in a state of division pending the announcement. عداك for de facto partition of Sudan.
3 - The failure of Arab regional organizations: where are these organizations folkloric character without any real ability to play functional roles assumed. This applies especially to the League of Arab States and its attached organizations.
4 - ideological conflict: the end of U.S. unilateral re-revival of this conflict after U.S. suggestions by the end of ideology. Pat monitor the Arab political scene shows the ideological conflict (ideological) between political Islam on the one hand and between the liberal and nationalist trends emerging on the other hand. And amid the loss of the project against the Islamic political powers corresponding inability to regroup according to modern formats appropriate. Which means the inability of the warring parties to find a political lever to the rescue.
5 - to demonize Arab relations: the disappearance of the dominant influence of regional powers under U.S. pressure Replaced this effect to exercise political influence intelligence closer to him to politics. So are the Arab countries complain about state intervention in the internal affairs of regional intelligence means. As lacked a strong ability of Arab countries its influence with Tqmust to the practice less powerful countries influential roles untapped structural chaos in the Arab system.
Based on these variables, the studies on the region's future political focus of academic research on three areas:
1 - strong regional policies: where to return to the Russian region rejects the balance of power imposed by Washington after the occupation of Iraq. What it pays to return the balance of power to the nines prior to the occupation of Iraq. Here are the smaller forces that the U.S. has received the support likely to return to its former size with what posed by this return stumbled within these countries as in Arab relations.
2 - regional institutions: the war in Iraq has been able to enter the Arab League Declaration valuable unprecedented coma. Does changing the regional balance of power to reform this organization to regain its role?. They should monitor the prospects for a new regional organizations based on the new balance of regional powers.
3 - external forces and regional patterns: the return of multipolarity push to support her friends and strengthen their role in the region. What means forced Washington to retreat from the pressures exerted on its Arab friends during the previous period.
This vision is not pessimistic but is reflect the reality of the situation and the fragility of the current Arab system and susceptibility to fragmentation across the escalation of disputes English. This situation is very similar to the situation of the Jews of Europe after the crisis infidels of the philosopher Jewish Spinoza, the day took the Jews their decision to cancel the charge of atonement to preserve the cohesion of the group, and when she returned to the Jews some force fired a substitute for atonement is a charge «Jew who hates himself», it may be %
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