, Which monitors the state of the world in the future. Research, published in December 2012 under the title «global trends 2030: alternative worlds, singled out 137-page intelligence information in all areas of political, economic, security, environmental and demographic, electronic and energy resources and natural resources.
It also reviews the perceptions of the frameworks that will shape the international map and the changes that will occur after 17 years.Summary of the latest report stating that in 2030 «will lead the world the power of one. Neither the United States nor China alone will be able to impose hegemony on the rest of the states. The report explains that «the potential of growing individual and the spread of power between the various states and their transition from governments to informal networks ستقلب the historical balance of power, which gave the West has been in power since 1750, to replace Asia Kalqoh the new budget in the global economy.The العملان which will determine the shape of the world in 2030, they are: demographic changes and increasing demand for natural resources, «those factors have a significant impact in our time, but its repercussions will take more space in the 15 - 20 next year, the report explains. «In the year 2030 will be a factor for water conflicts within and between states, more than a global energy and mineral resources. Coincide rising global demand for water with the increase in the number of the population in the areas of sources, ie, in North Africa and the Middle East, Central Asia and South Asia and northern China, which will increase the tension in those areas.The report stops long when the security side and the form of wars and crises coming and «the future of terrorism», it is remarkable to focus on two specific of all the armed organizations around the world, namely Hezbollah and Hamas, «they players Alossayasan is Almndoyen under the banner of the State and who will be active in the wars Articulated next ».New factor that has occurred on the 2030 report is a 'political Islam' researchers who stopped him long and posed questions about the future and about path that Sersmh the area which is under the direct influence of the (Middle East and North Africa).Report «National Intelligence Council has not ignored technological advances, but warns that the technology will go in the direction of the service weapons development and facilitate obtained, thus expanding fan users of irregular groups. And about the spread of e-networking sites and increasing its influence in various fields, the report explains that it would enable individual capacities within countries, will push some regimes to create an internal Internet networks to avoid electronic intrusions and online wars. 'Google' and 'Facebook' also attended in the report: «a giant Internet Steravan on the throne of Aldata in 2030 and Simitlkan the amounts of live information than those obtained by the governments.Economically, did not see those responsible for the full report breakthroughs in the 2030, Fartdadat the global financial crisis will continue after 17 years, and the countries that suffer from the current crisis will not have been fully recovered then. «Most Western countries suffer from low economic growth will extend for more than a decade, the report states.On the other hand, we will see the rising role of what is known as Bal «Mega Cities» Megacities, which is that cities with a population of over 10 million people. Remarkably, in the report's melancholy developed by researchers of the European Union, as it saved to that «if the Europeans did not find a radical solution to the model of the Greek crisis, the future of the Union will be at stake.Politically and strategically, the report paints a different picture of the world but vague and open to the possibilities. With the changing global balance of power and the erosion of the role of the United States out of its territory, will highlight new alliances and conflicts and probably comprehensive wars. Alastbarion researchers believe that the relationships that form will be determined by China, for example, with the remaining forces and the United States accepts her and interact with her will have a significant impact on the proportion of the tension that may prevail in 2030. «With the expansion of China's foreign interests, you may decide to Chinese elites, for example, to change the traditions of the country's foreign policy, which stipulates non-interference in the affairs of other countries or non-essential military alliances report indicates. He adds «The results of the Chinese debates on these issues will determine whether China intends to become a global superpower or not. The report gives another example of «strategic calculations of the key countries, like Russia, for example, that may decide to adopt a more open policy on the international community and alleviate the threat of an armed conflict in the future.American, the report does not cancel entirely the American role and its weight in the world, and puts the United States «among a group of other States will lead the destinies of peoples. And «in case you are not mired in internal crises and economic development, Washington has played an active role in solving international crises, but it certainly would stop playing the role of world policeman. But the report also points out that «any collapse of the value of the dollar and replace it with another currency will impact heavily on Washington's position in the global markets and the international political arena.Perhaps the only good news that came out of the report about the United States is in the demographic notch, as researchers saw that the country is immune from the risk of the aging society, and it is largely due to the young worker migrations to it. On the other hand the report puts most of the European countries, Japan and Russia in the face of the challenge of aging societies.Under the title 'the spread of power', the report presents a list of countries that will emerge as economic powers and ازنة as important as the West, such as: Colombia, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Turkey, Mexico, South Africa and others. As for India, the report says, would be a great economic growth but slow like China. In 2030, India will be the status of China in our time.A list of other inclusion report in its pages, which predicts where b «the countries most vulnerable to collapse in 2030», which, in the order given: Somalia, Burundi, Yemen, Uganda, Afghanistan, Malawi, Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, Niger, Pakistan, Chad , Haiti, Ethiopia, and Bangladesh.The 'alternative worlds' posed by the researchers are four, it serves as scenarios for the shape of the world in 2030. And ranging between wars, comprehensive and up to the receipt of non-state actors lead the world trable the challenges.
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