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Power shift


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The focus of this book is an intellectual equation (the author considers magic) summarized: "Who owns the information that the owner of the world." Delegation issued Torgomtan two Arab women for this book. First issued in 1991 for the Arab Writers Union in Damascus, translated by Professors maintained the aesthetic and the happiest Sakr, and the second issued in Egypt, and translated Ms. Lubna Reedy. It is unfortunate that this book is up to the Arab reader after more than ten years of its issuance. The irony is that it means futures trading, and hence the delay in the access it reduces its importance, especially after the issuance of a new book by the author published in 1994 under the title: "to build a civilization of New Policies - the third wave," which are its arguments a development of the proposals of the future included by this book. Therefore, we will abide in this presentation, the repeated proposals of the new book, which displayed more focused.

The beginning I'd stop at the front of the Syrian translation of the book, which points to the author's previous books, such as: "future maps" and "Future Shock" and "third wave". Which was translated by a Libyan intellectuals. But the translators were not able to get this translation (again raise here the question of bad communication and distribution) ... Then like to see Almtorgoman Tolfr vision of Marxism, Viardhan points of convergence and divergence between the two views. The first object of the similarities that tie between economic change, and change the form of power (or its transformation as a reaction to an economist). The difference Vigely considering Marx's material (the forces of production - factors of production), as opposed to the adoption of Tolfr account the mental (gives the individual the value of individual graduating from the concept of productivity tool ). But the difference is deeper in the perception of Alinterbulogip. While Marx speaks about "primitive communal" we find Tolbr Toffler speaks of ages of civilization. The working age fishing (primitive) and starts in the era of Agriculture (the first civilization), then the era of small-scale industry (Civilization II), followed by the era of large-scale industries (Civilization II advanced). The civilization third is the information age, which began the period is short (there is disagreement to determine the plan of his birth), which carries with it changes the author devotes his efforts to predict, and change directions by Thmah with it.

At the end made wonders Almtorgoman about the possibility of delivery of such translations necessary (a need of the Arabs to get acquainted with the course of forward thinking, assisted by the positioning in the world of the future), and the possibility of establishing Dar-Standard (Arabic Translation), and then return to the question: Is there more than one translator Arabic repeat our work this (book translation) spontaneously?.

Comes the answer to this question after a few years since you Alostap Reedy, translated the book again. They may have heard the translation of the book union without being able to obtain a copy of it?!.

Turning to the contents of the book, we find it problematic for deep political thought in the Valley, a candidate for accreditation in the governance of the world during the next century. The decision should be the responsibility of the owners of the information, because this property allows them to make the right decisions. This means removal of the masses (which can not usually the ownership of a sufficient amount of information), the impact of the decision. Therefore, the author is that one of the ironies of history is that it enables citizens while eagerly aspires to complete ownership of the freedom, the democracies in the West and Japan on its way towards ending the era of democratic masses. Which causes these democracies in internal crises crisis.

The author reviews the models of these internal questions, sees its ability to infect society disintegrate. The Information Technology - Contact can count certain social strata, leaving the other segments of the information campaign, others, to lose the cohesion of the masses, and turn into heterogeneous groups.

The author points out that with capacity utilization of foreign interests in this regard, by supplying a small group, religious or ethnic money or support any pictures, so magnified the impact of this group are enormous.

This reference leads us to the question of raising the problem of minorities in the Arab world, and third-party given by the supply and the ability to influence. But that this signal indicates to follow some foreign countries for such a study - and futures in general - as a basis for Taama with other countries - especially the third world - and to test the effectiveness of Procedure of this theory or the future?.

On the other hand the question is, do you survived the big countries of the heterogeneity of their collections?. The answer is of course not, because the world was moving in that direction. For example, recall the incidents of Los Angeles, and the militia movements of white Americans, as well as the pursuit of the north - the separation of Italians ... etc..

It also presents the author the problem of government rule the hidden, and gives an example of the change of American Presidents with the government stay hidden (it calls that got rid of President Kennedy when he tried to overcome them), then returns to confirm that the winning party (no matter how many parties) is a government covert control President, or leader, no matter how powerful his popularity. But the spread of information and speed of this deployment, will make it difficult for political leaders to prevent the leakage of information to the public, as well as they would be difficult to know the truth of the information contained in them from different data sources. So the game went towards the reduction of information classified information, and play skillfully on the leaking of what is appropriate from this information, and this skill are determined by the success of leaders. The author also refers to the game other information, that subordinates to withhold some information about their president, so as to allow him to defend himself (as ignorant) if things go wrong.

To emphasize the importance of information in today's world, the author points out that the leaders may not use a personal computer, but they in turn make their decisions based on information and reports have been processed by the computer-specialists. He does not ignore the reference to the possibility of directing some contradictory results. He called this Alchtlav the "information war". In this context, similar to the information, related to the leaders of light passing through the maze of distorting mirrors. A maze of a coup that will determine the image or reflection or even distorted. From here the need for everyone to original information, and increasing public Mkalpp transparency, facilitate and ensure freedom of access to information.

The author predicts the increased importance of espionage in the information age the next, but he believes they need to develop, especially in the direction that economic espionage has increased in importance after the end of the Cold War. And gives examples of the involvement of a number of giant American companies in the insurance cover for the CIA spies, in a country where they operate.

But that the author mentions the story of particular significance, Verwey story and a private intelligence agency was able to collect information predict the assassination of President Sadat, ten months before his assassination. The agency also predicted the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq war nine months before they erupt.


With the development of the potential of monitoring information and immediate delivery, the issue will not be the issue of access to information as much as a question of the ability to read this information and analyzed the case. And the importance of correct reading will give the mind and the capacity of the individual - mental importance in the coming information age. Is it valid to have a prophecy that the world has the information?
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